Scientists predict that the next three to five decades provide a critical window to anticipate and plan for Antarctic ice ...

Under global warming, summer precipitation over East China was projected to increase by current state-of-the-art climate models, but a large inter-model spread exists. Here we try to reduce the ...

Something has shifted in the way climate scientists talk about their own work. The language has become noticeably more ...

Climate models are increasingly used to inform water availability projections at regional scales. However, the models’ own runoff sensitivities—the change in runoff per unit change of precipitation or ...

Researchers found climate models overlook key atmospheric processes that develop days before heatwaves, limiting warnings of ...

Climate scientists are confronting a hard truth: some of the most widely used models are struggling to keep up with the pace and texture of real‑world warming. The physics at their core remains sound, ...

A quiet technical decision in climate science should trigger one of the most consequential policy corrections of this decade.

After a record fall, when nearly the entire United States experienced drought—unprecedented in US Drought Monitor history—water managers and planners nationwide are nervously hoping for a wet winter, ...

While the world's most advanced climate models successfully reproduce heat waves once they are underway, they consistently ...

Climate models have been the basis for concern about climate change for more than 35 years. The US government, the United Nations, and organizations across the world have used model projections to ...

The IMF and Bank of Canada helped the Central Bank of Kenya modernize its core forecasting model, significantly improving the ...