Betting on Trump's influence? How GA-14 runoff became a testing ground as prediction markets reshape 2026 elections

Prediction markets and political betting platforms are raising new questions about democracy, regulation, and voter behavior ...

Kalshi prediction site suspends three political candidates for betting on their own races

The prediction market Kalshi suspended three political candidates from its platform on Wednesday for “political insider ...

Special interests are moving into prediction markets, and it’s a problem

Institutional hedges move prices. Campaigns read those prices as momentum. Journalists cite them as forecasts. Donors ...
Undark Magazine

Prediction Markets Aren’t Likely to Replace Polling

Some analysts think the markets could out-compete polls in newsrooms and more, but the approaches are vastly different.
sportsgrid.com

Political Candidates Face Scrutiny Over Prediction Market Trades

Political Candidates Banned for Trading on Their Own Elections: A Strategy to Expose Flaws? Calci has recently banned three political candidates for trading on their own elections. Surprisingly, a ...

Wall Street backs trading giant after valuation doubles

Morgan Stanley, ARK Invest, and Sequoia Capital are pouring billions into a fast-growing new financial market.
Mercury News

Prediction markets are seeing a political boom. Here’s what they might mean for California’s governor race

As it ticks closer to Election Day, the prediction markets have gotten more confident in East Bay Rep. Eric Swalwell’s chances to be the next governor of California. It’s a stark contrast compared to ...
Bozeman Daily Chronicle

How polling failures, gambling legalization and political gridlock paved the way for the explosive rise of prediction markets

Get any of our free daily email newsletters — news headlines, opinion, e-edition, obituaries and more. (The Conversation is an independent and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from ...